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[the expert’s cyber prediction market]

volume: 250 creditsopen markets: 106total markets: 78mode: paper-trading market

Live & upcoming

Resolves within 30 days

Microsoft 365 status reports an incident in next 5 days?

Vol 0 creditsCloses 6h

SEC files a cybersecurity enforcement action in next 5 days?

Vol 0 creditsCloses 6h

A US local government reports ransomware in next 5 days?

Vol 0 creditsCloses 6h

Stolen-data marketplace lists a US-headquartered firm with 1M+ records in next 6 days?

Vol 0 creditsCloses 1d

Vulnerabilities

A vendor releases an out-of-band security patch in next 6 days?

Vol 0 creditsCloses 1d

CISA issues a binding operational directive or emergency directive in next 7 days?

Vol 0 creditsCloses 2d

Multi-outcome markets

Pick one of N

Breaches6 outcomes

Which Big Tech company will headline the biggest breach in May 2026?

Pick one of 6Closes 30d

Ransomware6 outcomes

Which ransomware group will claim the most victims in Q2 2026?

Pick one of 6Closes 2mo

Vulnerabilities6 outcomes

Which vendor will trigger the next CISA Emergency Directive in 2026?

Pick one of 6Closes 8mo

Infrastructure5 outcomes

Which AWS region will be the next to suffer a multi-hour outage?

Pick one of 5Closes 8mo